Single-Set Era
basket vs S&P 500 Total Return
Alpha vs S&P 500
0
Iconic chase Wrenn and Six
Wrenn and Six · Modern Horizons · 2019
Total invested at retail
$2,160.00
Sum of MSRPs, one box per product as released
Basket value today
$3,406.80
+57.7% since release
S&P 500 equivalent (DCA)
$5,222.53
+141.8% same dollars, same dates
Alpha vs S&P 500
-84.1 pp
Basket CAGR 5.86% vs SPXTR 11.67%
8-year horizon
Cumulative portfolio value
Each dot marks a product's release date entering the basket.- Single-Set Era basket
- S&P 500 (TR) DCA equivalent
Top grading plays in this era
Best risk-adjusted "buy raw, grade, flip" opportunities. Methodology →Top cards in this era
Highest-comp cards across this era's sets.
Mox Opal
Double Masters · #362
$372

Mox Opal
Double Masters · #275
$244

Force of Will
Double Masters · #340
$222

Chrome Mox
Double Masters · #358
$175

Chrome Mox
Double Masters · #240
$172

Ancient Tomb
Ultimate Masters · #236
$134

Mana Vault
Ultimate Masters · #229
$114

Liliana, Dreadhorde General
War of the Spark · #97★
$112
Basket composition
Where Single-Set Era's $3,407 basket value sits today.- Ultimate Masters Draft Booster Box $489.99 14%
- Modern Horizons 2 Draft Booster Box $289.99 9%
- Modern Horizons Draft Booster Box $279.99 8%
- Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths Draft Booster Box $250.00 7%
- Commander Legends Draft Booster Box $244.95 7%
- Other tracked products 13 additional sealed items $1,852 54%
Concentration shows where the era's investment risk sits. A heavy weighting in 1–2 products means single-card outcomes drive the basket more than diversification.
Compare to other eras
Quick peer reads against same-game neighbors plus a cross-game peer.- Single-Set Era alpha -84.1 ppStandard Acceleration Era alpha -117.0 ppCAGR delta -2.7 pp
Single-Set Era leads by 33 pp of alpha over Standard Acceleration Era.
See full Single-Set Era vs Standard Acceleration Era → - Single-Set Era alpha -84.1 ppUniverses Beyond Era alpha +47.6 ppCAGR delta -13.0 pp
Universes Beyond Era leads by 132 pp of alpha — Single-Set Era trails on this peer read.
See full Single-Set Era vs Universes Beyond Era → - Single-Set Era alpha -84.1 ppReserved List Era alpha +3339.5 ppCAGR delta -7.8 pp
Reserved List Era leads by 3424 pp of alpha — Single-Set Era trails on this peer read.
See full Single-Set Era vs Reserved List Era → - Pokémon WOTC EraSingle-Set Era alpha -84.1 ppWOTC Era alpha +66139.1 ppCAGR delta -20.8 pp
WOTC Era leads by 66223 pp of alpha — Single-Set Era trails on this peer read.
See full Single-Set Era vs WOTC Era →
Sealed products in Single-Set Era
Box-by-box performance. Sorted by release. Click any row for the full vs-S&P 500 comparison.| Product | Released | MSRP | Spot | Return | SPXTR | Alpha | CAGR | 12-mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Jul 2018 | $120.00 | $200.00 | +66.7% | +190.7% | -124.1 pp | 6.6% | |
| | Jul 2018 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Oct 2018 | $120.00 | $134.99 | +12.5% | +200.5% | -188.0 pp | 1.5% | |
| | Oct 2018 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Dec 2018 | $120.00 | $489.99 | +308.3% | +223.7% | +84.6 pp | 20.4% | |
| | Jan 2019 | $120.00 | $127.17 | +6.0% | +199.7% | -193.8 pp | 0.8% | |
| | Jan 2019 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | May 2019 | $120.00 | $84.99 | -29.2% | +192.4% | -221.5 pp | -4.7% | |
| | May 2019 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Jun 2019 | $120.00 | $279.99 | +133.3% | +173.1% | -39.8 pp | 12.7% | |
| | Jun 2019 | $280.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Jul 2019 | $120.00 | $139.88 | +16.6% | +169.2% | -152.7 pp | 2.2% | |
| | Jul 2019 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Oct 2019 | $120.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Oct 2019 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Jan 2020 | $120.00 | $164.99 | +37.5% | +146.3% | -108.8 pp | 5.0% | |
| | Jan 2020 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Apr 2020 | $120.00 | $250.00 | +108.3% | +171.4% | -63.1 pp | 12.5% | |
| | Apr 2020 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Jul 2020 | $120.00 | $159.00 | +32.5% | +140.5% | -108.0 pp | 4.8% | |
| | Jul 2020 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Aug 2020 | $120.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Aug 2020 | $280.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Sep 2020 | $120.00 | $99.90 | -16.8% | +133.2% | -150.0 pp | -3.1% | |
| | Sep 2020 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Nov 2020 | $120.00 | $244.95 | +104.1% | +116.0% | -11.8 pp | 13.5% | |
| | Feb 2021 | $120.00 | $75.00 | -37.5% | +104.4% | -141.9 pp | -8.3% | |
| | Feb 2021 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Apr 2021 | $120.00 | $196.99 | +64.2% | +85.9% | -21.8 pp | 10.0% | |
| | Apr 2021 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Jun 2021 | $120.00 | $289.99 | +141.7% | +80.4% | +61.2 pp | 19.0% | |
| | Jun 2021 | $280.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Jul 2021 | $120.00 | $198.98 | +65.8% | +76.3% | -10.4 pp | 10.7% | |
| | Jul 2021 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Sep 2021 | $120.00 | $130.00 | +8.3% | +79.4% | -71.1 pp | 1.7% | |
| | Sep 2021 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Nov 2021 | $120.00 | $139.99 | +16.7% | +68.8% | -52.2 pp | 3.4% | |
| | Nov 2021 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — |