Scarlet & Violet Era
basket vs S&P 500 Total Return
Alpha vs S&P 500
0
Pikachu ex · Surging Sparks · 2024
Total invested at retail
$2,478.00
Sum of MSRPs, one box per product as released
Basket value today
$4,736.32
+91.1% since release
S&P 500 equivalent (DCA)
$3,286.82
+32.6% same dollars, same dates
Alpha vs S&P 500
+58.5 pp
Basket CAGR 23.32% vs SPXTR 9.57%
3-year horizon
Cumulative portfolio value
Each dot marks a product's release date entering the basket.- Scarlet & Violet Era basket
- S&P 500 (TR) DCA equivalent
Top grading plays in this era
Best risk-adjusted "buy raw, grade, flip" opportunities. Methodology →Top cards in this era
Highest-comp cards across this era's sets.
Umbreon ex
Prismatic Evolutions · #161
$1,511
Mew ex
Paldean Fates · #232
$1,078
Mega Charizard X ex
Phantasmal Flames · #125
$872
Victini
Black Bolt · #171
$576
Zekrom ex
Black Bolt · #172
$560
Sylveon ex
Prismatic Evolutions · #156
$559
Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex
Destined Rivals · #231
$544
Victini
White Flare · #172
$535
Basket composition
Where Scarlet & Violet Era's $4,736 basket value sits today.- Paldean Fates Elite Trainer Box $429.99 9%
- Obsidian Flames Elite Trainer Box $299.98 6%
- Paldea Evolved Elite Trainer Box $230.00 5%
- Paldea Evolved Booster Box $229.78 5%
- Journey Together Booster Box $209.00 4%
- Other tracked products 22 additional sealed items $3,338 70%
Concentration shows where the era's investment risk sits. A heavy weighting in 1–2 products means single-card outcomes drive the basket more than diversification.
Compare to other eras
Quick peer reads against same-game neighbors plus a cross-game peer.- Pokémon Sword & Shield EraScarlet & Violet Era alpha +58.5 ppSword & Shield Era alpha +190.2 ppCAGR delta -1.2 pp
Sword & Shield Era leads by 132 pp of alpha — Scarlet & Violet Era trails on this peer read.
See full Scarlet & Violet Era vs Sword & Shield Era → - Pokémon Sun & Moon EraScarlet & Violet Era alpha +58.5 ppSun & Moon Era alpha +2247.6 ppCAGR delta -18.9 pp
Sun & Moon Era leads by 2189 pp of alpha — Scarlet & Violet Era trails on this peer read.
See full Scarlet & Violet Era vs Sun & Moon Era → - Pokémon XY EraScarlet & Violet Era alpha +58.5 ppXY Era alpha +2552.7 ppCAGR delta -12.1 pp
XY Era leads by 2494 pp of alpha — Scarlet & Violet Era trails on this peer read.
See full Scarlet & Violet Era vs XY Era → - MTG Vintage EraScarlet & Violet Era alpha +58.5 ppVintage Era alpha +6710.5 ppCAGR delta +8.0 pp
Vintage Era leads by 6652 pp of alpha — Scarlet & Violet Era trails on this peer read.
See full Scarlet & Violet Era vs Vintage Era →
Sealed products in Scarlet & Violet Era
Box-by-box performance. Sorted by release. Click any row for the full vs-S&P 500 comparison.| Product | Released | MSRP | Spot | Return | SPXTR | Alpha | CAGR | 12-mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Box | Mar 2023 | $144.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Scarlet & Violet Elite Trainer Box | Mar 2023 | $50.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Box | Jun 2023 | $144.00 | $229.78 | +59.6% | +68.8% | -9.2 pp | 16.3% | |
| Paldea Evolved Elite Trainer Box | Jun 2023 | $50.00 | $230.00 | +360.0% | +68.8% | +291.2 pp | 63.8% | |
| Obsidian Flames Booster Box | Aug 2023 | $144.00 | $201.05 | +39.6% | +66.2% | -26.6 pp | 12.1% | |
| Obsidian Flames Elite Trainer Box | Aug 2023 | $50.00 | $299.98 | +500.0% | +66.2% | +433.8 pp | 84.8% | |
| 151 Booster Box | Sep 2023 | $144.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 151 Elite Trainer Box | Sep 2023 | $50.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Paradox Rift Booster Box | Nov 2023 | $144.00 | $168.58 | +17.1% | +63.3% | -46.3 pp | 6.0% | |
| Paradox Rift Elite Trainer Box | Nov 2023 | $50.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Paldean Fates Booster Box | Jan 2024 | $144.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Paldean Fates Elite Trainer Box | Jan 2024 | $50.00 | $429.99 | +760.0% | +53.7% | +706.3 pp | 139.9% | |
| Temporal Forces Booster Box | Mar 2024 | $144.00 | $168.56 | +17.1% | +41.3% | -24.3 pp | 7.1% | |
| Temporal Forces Elite Trainer Box | Mar 2024 | $50.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Twilight Masquerade Booster Box | May 2024 | $144.00 | $167.55 | +16.4% | +40.4% | -24.0 pp | 7.4% | |
| Twilight Masquerade Elite Trainer Box | May 2024 | $50.00 | $99.99 | +100.0% | +40.4% | +59.6 pp | 38.4% | |
| Shrouded Fable Booster Box | Aug 2024 | $144.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Shrouded Fable Elite Trainer Box | Aug 2024 | $50.00 | $118.00 | +136.0% | +30.7% | +105.3 pp | 55.6% | |
| Stellar Crown Booster Box | Sep 2024 | $144.00 | $165.98 | +15.3% | +28.0% | -12.7 pp | 8.1% | |
| Stellar Crown Elite Trainer Box | Sep 2024 | $50.00 | $128.68 | +157.4% | +28.0% | +129.4 pp | 67.8% | |
 Surging Sparks Booster Box | Nov 2024 | $144.00 | $189.99 | +31.9% | +22.0% | +9.9 pp | 18.0% | |
| Surging Sparks Elite Trainer Box | Nov 2024 | $50.00 | $120.00 | +140.0% | +22.0% | +118.0 pp | 68.8% | |
| Prismatic Evolutions Booster Box | Jan 2025 | $144.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer Box | Jan 2025 | $50.00 | $159.95 | +219.9% | +21.6% | +198.3 pp | 119.3% | |
| Journey Together Booster Box | Mar 2025 | $144.00 | $209.00 | +45.1% | +30.6% | +14.6 pp | 33.5% | |
| Journey Together Elite Trainer Box | Mar 2025 | $50.00 | $122.00 | +144.0% | +30.6% | +113.5 pp | 99.7% | |
 Destined Rivals Booster Box | May 2025 | $144.00 | $201.06 | +39.6% | +23.7% | +16.0 pp | 34.8% | |
| Destined Rivals Elite Trainer Box | May 2025 | $50.00 | $159.99 | +220.0% | +23.7% | +196.3 pp | 183.3% | |
| Black Bolt Booster Box | Jul 2025 | $144.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Black Bolt Elite Trainer Box | Jul 2025 | $50.00 | $157.00 | +214.0% | +15.1% | +198.9 pp | 0.0% | |
| White Flare Booster Box | Jul 2025 | $144.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| White Flare Elite Trainer Box | Jul 2025 | $50.00 | $140.00 | +180.0% | +15.1% | +164.9 pp | 0.0% | |
| Mega Evolution Booster Box | Sep 2025 | $144.00 | $204.25 | +41.8% | +8.8% | +33.0 pp | 0.0% | |
| Mega Evolution Elite Trainer Box | Sep 2025 | $50.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Box | Nov 2025 | $144.00 | $205.26 | +42.5% | +6.1% | +36.5 pp | 0.0% | |
| Phantasmal Flames Elite Trainer Box | Nov 2025 | $50.00 | $145.00 | +190.0% | +6.1% | +183.9 pp | 0.0% | |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Box | Jan 2026 | $144.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ascended Heroes Elite Trainer Box | Jan 2026 | $50.00 | $155.00 | +210.0% | +4.5% | +205.5 pp | 0.0% | |
| Perfect Order Booster Box | Mar 2026 | $144.00 | $99.69 | -30.8% | +10.8% | -41.6 pp | 0.0% | |
| Perfect Order Elite Trainer Box | Mar 2026 | $50.00 | $59.99 | +20.0% | +10.8% | +9.2 pp | 0.0% |