Dashboard / Sealed / War of the Spark / vs S&P 500

MTG Single-Set Era · booster box ·Released May 3, 2019 ·MSRP $120.00
Buy on TCGplayer → (affiliate ID pending)

War of the Spark Draft Booster Box

Total return since MSRP, alpha vs S&P 500 Total Return, and grading economics.

Current spot price
$84.99
Last refresh Jul 2026
Total return since MSRP
-29.2%
SPXTR +192.4% · alpha -221.5 pp
Annualized CAGR
-4.68%
SPXTR 16.09%
7.2-year horizon
Weekly volume
—
Volume signal activates with TCGplayer/eBay integration

War of the Spark Draft Booster Box vs S&P 500 (TR)

Both series indexed to 100 at the anchor date.
53117182246310 2019-052020-102022-032023-082025-022026-07 Pandemic sealed boom (2020) Bear market begins (2022)
  • Booster box
  • S&P 500 Total Return
Sealed prices are eBay asking-price floors, not sale comps. Each spot is the lowest credible active ask across current eBay listings, refreshed nightly; history accumulates from daily snapshots of that floor. Sale-based pricing arrives with eBay Marketplace Insights integration.

$1,000 invested at MSRP

If you'd bought boxes at MSRP and held to today.
Booster box
8.3 boxes
$708
-29.2% · CAGR -4.68%
S&P 500 (TR)
10.00 units indexed
$2,924
+192.4% · CAGR 16.09%
Alpha: $-2,215 (-221.5 pp)

Box → Singles

Grading economics — coming soon.

Activates with the optimizer + pop data integration.

The Box → Singles panel ties this product back to the per-card grading optimizer: expected pull rates × probability of each grade × current PSA / CGC / BGS / SGC / TAG comps, netted against fees and shipping. The output is a verdict ("SEALED IS UNDERVALUED", "FAIR", "OVERVALUED") so a serious investor can compare a sealed box's spot price against its expected singles EV.

Activates the moment pop_reports rows land for the cards in this set.

Disclosures