Dashboard / Sealed / Fates Collide / vs S&P 500

Pokémon XY Era · etb ·Released May 2, 2016 ·MSRP $35.00
Buy on TCGplayer → (affiliate ID pending)

Fates Collide Elite Trainer Box

Total return since MSRP, alpha vs S&P 500 Total Return, and grading economics.

Current spot price
$1,161.49
Last refresh Jul 2026
Total return since MSRP
+3218.5%
SPXTR +307.7% · alpha +2910.9 pp
Annualized CAGR
41.00%
SPXTR 14.78%
10.2-year horizon
Weekly volume
—
Volume signal activates with TCGplayer/eBay integration

Fates Collide Elite Trainer Box vs S&P 500 (TR)

Both series indexed to 100 at the anchor date.
-157776170926433576 2016-052018-052020-052022-062024-062026-07 Pandemic sealed boom (2020) Bear market begins (2022)
  • Booster box
  • S&P 500 Total Return
Sealed prices are eBay asking-price floors, not sale comps. Each spot is the lowest credible active ask across current eBay listings, refreshed nightly; history accumulates from daily snapshots of that floor. Sale-based pricing arrives with eBay Marketplace Insights integration.

$1,000 invested at MSRP

If you'd bought boxes at MSRP and held to today.
Booster box
28.6 boxes
$33,185
+3218.5% · CAGR 41.00%
S&P 500 (TR)
10.00 units indexed
$4,077
+307.7% · CAGR 14.78%
Alpha: + $29,109 (+2910.9 pp)

Box → Singles

Grading economics — coming soon.

Activates with the optimizer + pop data integration.

The Box → Singles panel ties this product back to the per-card grading optimizer: expected pull rates × probability of each grade × current PSA / CGC / BGS / SGC / TAG comps, netted against fees and shipping. The output is a verdict ("SEALED IS UNDERVALUED", "FAIR", "OVERVALUED") so a serious investor can compare a sealed box's spot price against its expected singles EV.

Activates the moment pop_reports rows land for the cards in this set.

Disclosures