Dashboard / Sealed / Lost Thunder / vs S&P 500

Pokémon Sun & Moon Era · etb ·Released Nov 2, 2018 ·MSRP $35.00
Buy on TCGplayer → (affiliate ID pending)

Lost Thunder Elite Trainer Box

Total return since MSRP, alpha vs S&P 500 Total Return, and grading economics.

Current spot price
$750.00
Last refresh Jul 2026
Total return since MSRP
+2042.9%
SPXTR +194.5% · alpha +1848.3 pp
Annualized CAGR
48.96%
SPXTR 15.08%
7.7-year horizon
Weekly volume
—
Volume signal activates with TCGplayer/eBay integration

Lost Thunder Elite Trainer Box vs S&P 500 (TR)

Both series indexed to 100 at the anchor date.
-73522111717122307 2018-112020-052021-112023-062024-122026-07 Pandemic sealed boom (2020) Bear market begins (2022)
  • Booster box
  • S&P 500 Total Return
Sealed prices are eBay asking-price floors, not sale comps. Each spot is the lowest credible active ask across current eBay listings, refreshed nightly; history accumulates from daily snapshots of that floor. Sale-based pricing arrives with eBay Marketplace Insights integration.

$1,000 invested at MSRP

If you'd bought boxes at MSRP and held to today.
Booster box
28.6 boxes
$21,429
+2042.9% · CAGR 48.96%
S&P 500 (TR)
10.00 units indexed
$2,945
+194.5% · CAGR 15.08%
Alpha: + $18,484 (+1848.3 pp)

Box → Singles

Grading economics — coming soon.

Activates with the optimizer + pop data integration.

The Box → Singles panel ties this product back to the per-card grading optimizer: expected pull rates × probability of each grade × current PSA / CGC / BGS / SGC / TAG comps, netted against fees and shipping. The output is a verdict ("SEALED IS UNDERVALUED", "FAIR", "OVERVALUED") so a serious investor can compare a sealed box's spot price against its expected singles EV.

Activates the moment pop_reports rows land for the cards in this set.

Disclosures