Lost Thunder Booster Box

Total return since MSRP, alpha vs S&P 500 Total Return, and grading economics.

Current spot price

$1,749.89

Last refresh Jul 2026

Total return since MSRP

+1520.3%

SPXTR +194.5% · alpha +1325.8 pp

Annualized CAGR

43.64%

SPXTR 15.08%

7.7-year horizon

Weekly volume

—

Volume signal activates with TCGplayer/eBay integration

Lost Thunder Booster Box vs S&P 500 (TR)

Both series indexed to 100 at the anchor date.

Booster box
S&P 500 Total Return

Sealed prices are eBay asking-price floors, not sale comps. Each spot is the lowest credible active ask across current eBay listings, refreshed nightly; history accumulates from daily snapshots of that floor. Sale-based pricing arrives with eBay Marketplace Insights integration.

$1,000 invested at MSRP

If you'd bought boxes at MSRP and held to today.

Booster box

9.3 boxes

$16,203

+1520.3% · CAGR 43.64%

S&P 500 (TR)

10.00 units indexed

$2,945

+194.5% · CAGR 15.08%

Alpha: + $13,258 (+1325.8 pp)

Box → Singles

Grading economics — coming soon.

Activates with the optimizer + pop data integration.

The Box → Singles panel ties this product back to the per-card grading optimizer: expected pull rates × probability of each grade × current PSA / CGC / BGS / SGC / TAG comps, netted against fees and shipping. The output is a verdict ("SEALED IS UNDERVALUED", "FAIR", "OVERVALUED") so a serious investor can compare a sealed box's spot price against its expected singles EV.

Activates the moment pop_reports rows land for the cards in this set.

Disclosures

Returns shown ignore storage / insurance / liquidity friction (~1-2% per year).
Spot prices are eBay asking-price floors — the lowest credible active asks, refreshed nightly — plus manual overrides verified against public auction records; see methodology. Asking floors are not sale comps.
The S&P 500 Total Return series (^SP500TR) is provided monthly via Yahoo Finance, with FRED's daily price-only series used elsewhere on the site.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.