March of the Machine Draft Booster Box
Total return since MSRP, alpha vs S&P 500 Total Return, and grading economics.
Current spot price
$105.94
Last refresh Jul 2026
Total return since MSRP
-11.7%
SPXTR +80.7% · alpha -92.4 pp
Annualized CAGR
-3.79%
SPXTR 20.14%
3.2-year horizon
Weekly volume
—
Volume signal activates with TCGplayer/eBay integration
March of the Machine Draft Booster Box vs S&P 500 (TR)
Both series indexed to 100 at the anchor date.- Booster box
- S&P 500 Total Return
$1,000 invested at MSRP
If you'd bought boxes at MSRP and held to today.Booster box
8.3 boxes
$883
-11.7% · CAGR -3.79%
S&P 500 (TR)
10.00 units indexed
$1,807
+80.7% · CAGR 20.14%
Alpha: $-925 (-92.4 pp)
Box → Singles
Grading economics — coming soon.Activates with the optimizer + pop data integration.
The Box → Singles panel ties this product back to the per-card grading optimizer: expected pull rates × probability of each grade × current PSA / CGC / BGS / SGC / TAG comps, netted against fees and shipping. The output is a verdict ("SEALED IS UNDERVALUED", "FAIR", "OVERVALUED") so a serious investor can compare a sealed box's spot price against its expected singles EV.
Activates the moment pop_reports rows land for the cards in this set.
Disclosures
- Returns shown ignore storage / insurance / liquidity friction (~1-2% per year).
- Spot prices are eBay asking-price floors — the lowest credible active asks, refreshed nightly — plus manual overrides verified against public auction records; see methodology. Asking floors are not sale comps.
- The S&P 500 Total Return series (
^SP500TR) is provided monthly via Yahoo Finance, with FRED's daily price-only series used elsewhere on the site. - Past performance is not indicative of future results.