Lugia

Lugia sits in Aquapolis. Raw spot is $2,225 per the most recent manually verified value, last refreshed Jul 13, 2026.

I'm scoring this a 69/100 — PLAY. The math: $4,075 expected value at PSA Regular tier, less raw cost $2,225, less $25 grading fee, less $12 return shipping, less $540 eBay fee = +$1,273 net per copy. ROI works out to 57% on the raw cost basis.

PSA Regular tier turnaround runs about 65 days. Annualized for capital velocity, that's roughly +321% APR — useful framing if you're thinking about this as a capital allocation, not a one-shot trade.

Pop velocity is muted (5.0% in 30d), which I read as a positive signal — the gem-rate denominator isn't ballooning, so existing PSA 10 comps should hold.

Sourcing raw: high-end card. Don't buy without seeing high-resolution scans of every edge and the surface. Comp $2,225 is your ceiling — bid below it to leave room for grading risk. Auction houses (PWCC, Goldin) sell raw copies of cards in this range with provenance.

Risk to size: grading is one-way. Grading fees aren't refundable, the round-trip eats 65 days of capital, and the comp data lags real-time market shifts. For comparable plays in the same era, look at Shining Charizard and Mewtwo ★. Numbers above pull from PSA POP Report, recent eBay sold listings, and live TCGplayer market prices.